\u00a0Or\u00e7amento<\/a>\u00a0prev\u00ea que a Taxa Selic (juros b\u00e1sicos da economia) encerrar\u00e1 2024 com m\u00e9dia de 9,8% ao ano, contra proje\u00e7\u00e3o de 11,08% ao ano que constava na LDO. A previs\u00e3o para o d\u00f3lar m\u00e9dio caiu de R$ 5,12 para R$ 5,02.<\/p>\nO projeto tamb\u00e9m apresentou estimativas at\u00e9 2027. A previs\u00e3o para o crescimento do PIB est\u00e1 em 2,8% para 2025, 2,4% em 2026 e 2,6% em 2027. Para o IPCA, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1 em 3% nos tr\u00eas anos. Em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 Selic, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o m\u00e9dia est\u00e1 em 7,82% ao ano em 2025, 7,05% em 2026 e 7,06% em 2027. Atualmente, a taxa est\u00e1 em 13,75% ao ano.<\/p>\n
Em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao IPCA, \u00edndice oficial de infla\u00e7\u00e3o, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para o pr\u00f3ximo ano est\u00e1 levemente acima do centro da meta de 3% definida pelo Conselho Monet\u00e1rio Nacional (CMN). Como o conselho determina uma margem de toler\u00e2ncia de 1,5 ponto percentual, a infla\u00e7\u00e3o poder\u00e1 ficar entre 1,5% e 4,5% no pr\u00f3ximo ano sem resultar em descumprimento da meta.<\/p>\n
As proje\u00e7\u00f5es para o \u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor (INPC), usado na corre\u00e7\u00e3o do sal\u00e1rio m\u00ednimo, ca\u00edram em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 LDO, de 3,3% para 3,01% para o pr\u00f3ximo ano. Para 2023, a previs\u00e3o corresponde a 4,48%, mas a estimativa pode ser revisada para cima no fim de setembro, quando a Secretaria de Pol\u00edtica Econ\u00f4mica do Minist\u00e9rio da Fazenda apresentar\u00e1 a nova edi\u00e7\u00e3o do Boletim Macrofiscal.<\/p>\n
O texto enviado ao Congresso estima o pre\u00e7o m\u00e9dio do barril do petr\u00f3leo (usado para estimar receitas da Uni\u00e3o com royalties) em US$ 73,90 no pr\u00f3ximo ano, alta de 12,09% nas importa\u00e7\u00f5es (excluindo combust\u00edveis) e crescimento de 5,69% na massa salarial nominal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Infla\u00e7\u00e3o cair\u00e1 para 3,3% no pr\u00f3ximo ano Enviado ao Congresso Nacional no fim da tarde desta quinta-feira (31), o projeto do Or\u00e7amento teve poucas altera\u00e7\u00f5es em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s estimativas de crescimento econ\u00f4mico para o pr\u00f3ximo ano na compara\u00e7\u00e3o com os par\u00e2metros da Lei de Diretrizes Or\u00e7ament\u00e1rias (LDO), que tramita desde abril. A proje\u00e7\u00e3o de crescimento […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18045,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[104,67],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-destaque","category-painel_brasil_mundo"],"yoast_head":"\n
Or\u00e7amento de 2024 prev\u00ea crescimento de 2,26% para economia - Resumo Pol\u00edtico<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/resumopolitico.com.br\/?p=18044\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Or\u00e7amento de 2024 prev\u00ea crescimento de 2,26% para economia - Resumo Pol\u00edtico\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Infla\u00e7\u00e3o cair\u00e1 para 3,3% no pr\u00f3ximo ano Enviado ao Congresso Nacional no fim da tarde desta quinta-feira (31), o projeto do Or\u00e7amento teve poucas altera\u00e7\u00f5es em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s estimativas de crescimento econ\u00f4mico para o pr\u00f3ximo ano na compara\u00e7\u00e3o com os par\u00e2metros da Lei de Diretrizes Or\u00e7ament\u00e1rias (LDO), que tramita desde abril. 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